Giusj Digioia, Chiara Foglietta, Gabriele Oliva, Stefano Panzieri and Roberto Setola, "Moving from looking to understanding: Situation Awareness and Prediction," In Effective Surveillance for Homeland Security: Balancing Technology and Social Issues , CRC Press / Taylor & Francis eds., 2012. (isbn:ISBN 9781439883242)
This Chapter reviews some of the most promising methodologies to understand what it is happening in a given scenario and how the situation might evolve. After a brief review of the basic concept of Data Fusion, the chapter illustrates the theory of Evidence, the Bayesian Belief Networks and the Markov Chain, with their main evolutions so as re-active surveillance models. Some applicative case studies complete the chapter.